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...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY...
TROPICAL STORM CINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT AUG 14 1993
 
RECON PLANE FOUND A FEW SPOTS OF 35 KNOT WINDS PRIMARILY TO THE EAST
AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER WITHIN THE AREA OF HEAVY SHOWERS.
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED WITH AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER AND AN
UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. THEREFORE THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN
UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS.  UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR STRENGTHENING AND CINDY MAY REACH MINIMAL HURRICANE
STATUS BY 48 TO 72 HOURS. 

INITIAL MOTION IS 285/11.  A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED MAY
OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...SINCE THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH
IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN.  HOWEVER...LATEST AVN FORECAST SUGGESTS THAT
THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH MAY RE-ESTABLISHED BY THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD SO CINDY SHOULD THEN RESUME A GENERAL WNW MOTION.  
 
NO CHANGES IN WARNINGS OR WATCHES ARE NECESSARY AT THIS TIME.
 
AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     14/2100Z 15.0N  61.5W    35 KTS
12HR VT     15/0600Z 15.4N  63.2W    40 KTS
24HR VT     15/1800Z 16.0N  65.5W    50 KTS
36HR VT     16/0600Z 16.5N  67.5W    60 KTS
48HR VT     16/1800Z 17.5N  69.5W    65 KTS
72HR VT     17/1800Z 19.0N  73.5W    65 KTS