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...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY...
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI APR 24 1992

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE OR NO DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES OF THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION.  ALTHOUGH SHIP
REPORTS NEAR THE CENTER ARE ABSENT...CLOUD MOTIONS STILL INDICATE A
CLOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION.  STRONG UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES OVER
THE AREA SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION OF CONVECTION
OVER THE CENTER.  THE SYSTEM SHOULD BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN ABOUT 48
HOURS...OR DISSIPATE BY THAT TIME.
 
CURRENT MOVEMENT IS EAST NEAR 5 KNOTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS EMBEDDED
IN WESTERLY FLOW ABOVE THE SURFACE...WITH A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION SITUATED ABOUT 7 DEGREES TO THE EAST NORTHEAST.
GIVEN THIS STEERING CURRENT...THE DEPRESSION SHOULD MOVE EAST AND
THEN EAST NORTHEAST WITH INCREASING FORWARD SPEED.  THE LATEST
OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE MEDIUM AND SHALLOW BAM
GUIDANCE...WHICH MIGHT BE EXPECTED TO HANDLE THIS TYPE OF SYSTEM THE
BEST. 

PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     24/0900Z 25.8N  62.5W    30 KTS
12HR VT     24/1800Z 25.8N  61.5W    30 KTS
24HR VT     25/0600Z 26.3N  58.1W    30 KTS
36HR VT     25/1800Z 27.5N  53.0W    30 KTS
48HR VT     26/0600Z 29.5N  48.0W    30 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL