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...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY...
SUBTROPICAL STORM ONE DISCUSSION NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED APR 22 1992
 
STORM CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY WESTNORTHWESTWARD.  THE PRESENT MOTION
SEEMS TO BE DUE TO A RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER BUILDING...THIS
COMBINED WITH THE APPROACHING TROUGH IN THE WESTERLIES IS SQUEEZING
THE STORM.  EVENTUALLY IT WILL BE POPPED OUT INTO THE WESTERLIES. 
ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL SOME SLIGHT THREAT TO BERMUDA...THIS WILL
DIMINISH SHARPLY AS MOTION TURNS TOWARD THE NORTH AND THEN
NORTHEAST.
 
THERE IS LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE STORM CENTER AND
SUBTROPICAL STORM STATUS IS MAINTAINED FOR THE SAKE OF CONTINUITY.
BARRING AN UNLIKELY SHIP REPORT...WE WILL NOT HAVE A GOOD READING ON
THE PRESSURE OR WINDS UNTIL THE AIRCRAFT ARRIVES IN THE MORNING.
APPROACHING WESTERLIES COULD PROVIDE VERTICAL SHEAR AND WEAKENING
BUT THIS IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN AND INTENSITY FORECAST IS FOR NO CHANGE
THROUGH 72 HOURS.
 
JARRELL
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     23/0300Z 25.7N  63.4W    45 KTS
12HR VT     23/1200Z 26.2N  64.3W    45 KTS
24HR VT     24/0000Z 27.4N  65.0W    45 KTS
36HR VT     24/1200Z 29.2N  63.7W    45 KTS
48HR VT     25/0000Z 30.9N  60.0W    45 KTS
72HR VT     26/0000Z 31.7N  49.9W    45 KTS