ADVISORY NUMBER 3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST WED SEP 30 1992 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 27.0N 74.0W 47 X X X 47 CHARLESTON SC X X 1 8 9 27.9N 75.1W 27 1 1 X 29 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 7 8 29.0N 76.0W 6 9 3 2 20 WILMINGTON NC X X X 8 8 MUCM 214N 779W X X 1 1 2 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 7 7 MUCF 221N 805W X X 1 1 2 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 5 5 MUHA 230N 824W X X 1 1 2 NORFOLK VA X X X 3 3 MYMM 224N 730W X X 1 1 2 KEY WEST FL X X 2 3 5 MYSM 241N 745W 8 3 1 1 13 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 4 5 9 MYEG 235N 758W 1 4 2 2 9 FT MYERS FL X X 4 5 9 MYAK 241N 776W X 5 3 2 10 VENICE FL X X 3 6 9 MYNN 251N 775W 1 9 3 1 14 TAMPA FL X X 3 6 9 MYGF 266N 787W X 8 5 2 15 CEDAR KEY FL X X 1 8 9 MARATHON FL X X 3 4 7 ST MARKS FL X X X 7 7 MIAMI FL X 2 5 4 11 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 6 6 W PALM BEACH FL X 2 7 4 13 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 5 5 FT PIERCE FL X 2 6 5 13 PENSACOLA FL X X X 3 3 COCOA BEACH FL X 1 6 6 13 MOBILE AL X X X 2 2 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 5 7 12 GULFPORT MS X X X 2 2 JACKSONVILLE FL X X 2 8 10 GULF 29N 85W X X X 6 6 SAVANNAH GA X X 1 8 9 GULF 29N 87W X X X 3 3 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM MON FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2AM MON TO 2PM MON C FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE D FROM 2AM TUE TO 2AM WED E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM WED X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT