ZCZC MIAWRKAD4 LOC
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY...
HURRICANE ANDREW DISCUSSION NUMBER  40
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE AUG 25 1992
 
RECON INDICATES THAT THE PRESSURE ROSE FROM 932 AND 945 MB DURING
THE EVENING BUT WINDS REMAIN AROUND 120 KNOTS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY
WILL BE KEPT UNTIL LANDFALL.

INITIAL MOTION IS 310/11. THIS GENERAL TRACK IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THEN... AS A TROUGH DIGS OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES...WEAKENING ANDREW SHOULD TAKE A NORTH AND
NORTHEASTERLY TRACK WITH INCREASING FORWARD SPEED. 

BAM MODELS ACCELERATE THE HURRICANE EASTWARD AFTER 48 HOURS. BAM
DEEP PUT THE HURRICANE BACK OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE LAST
FORECAST PERIOD.  CONSIDERING THAT UNREALISTIC TRACK...THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST CERTAINLY DOES NOT INCLUDE THAT SOLUTION. 
 
AVILA
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     26/0300Z 29.0N  91.1W   120 KTS
12HR VT     26/1200Z 30.2N  92.4W   120 KTS...INLAND
24HR VT     27/0000Z 31.7N  92.6W    80 KTS
36HR VT     27/1200Z 33.0N  91.8W    60 KTS
48HR VT     28/0000Z 34.5N  90.5W    50 KTS
72HR VT     29/0000Z 36.0N  88.7W    40 KTS