ZCZC MIAWRKAD4 LOC
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY...
HURRICANE ANDREW DISCUSSION NUMBER  39
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE AUG 25 1992
 
PRESSURE HAS DROPPED ON LATEST RECON TO 932 MB...KEEPING ANDREW A
CAT 4 HURRICANE.  INITIAL INTENSITY OF 120 KT WILL BE KEPT UNTIL
LANDFALL...WITH TYPICAL WEAKENING THEREAFTER.

INITIAL MOTION IS 300/14 AND SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD MOTION IS
FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL.  THE RIDGE TO THE NE IS WEAKENING...AND
NOW IT LOOKS LIKE THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH TO THE NW MAY PICK ANDREW UP
AT THE LATER TIME PERIODS.  CURRENT TRACK IS ALONG THE LINES OF THE
LATEST QLM...GFDL MODEL...AND THE BAMS UP UNTIL LANDFALL.  BAMS GET
FLAKY AT THE LATER TIME PERIODS.

MAYFIELD
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     25/2100Z 28.2N  90.3W   120 KTS
12HR VT     26/0600Z 29.2N  91.9W   120 KTS
24HR VT     26/1800Z 30.5N  93.0W   100 KTS...INLAND
36HR VT     27/0600Z 31.3N  93.2W    80 KTS
48HR VT     27/1800Z 32.6N  93.3W    60 KTS
72HR VT     28/1800Z 35.0N  92.5W    40 KTS