ZCZC MIAWRKAD4 LOC
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY...
HURRICANE ANDREW DISCUSSION NUMBER  38
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE AUG 25 1992
 
LATEST RECON REPORTED 944 MB...SO WE WILL NOT MAKE ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGE TO THE INTENSITY FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL.  RECCO REPORT
INDICATES THE INNER EYEWALL HAS WEAKENED BUT AN OUTER EYEWALL HAS 
STRENGTHENED. EYE DIAMETER IS NOW 30 NMI.

INITIAL MOTION IS 300/15...AND THIS FORECAST IS BASICALLY ALONG THE
SAME TRACK AS BEFORE BUT WITH A FASTER FORWARD MOTION.  MOST
GUIDANCE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. 
CURRENT TRACK IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH NHC90 AND THE LATEST QLM UP
TO THE LOUISIANA COAST AT LEAST.  THE BAMS ARE A LITTLE TO THE LEFT
OF OUR TRACK.

MAYFIELD


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     25/1500Z 27.5N  89.2W   120 KTS
12HR VT     26/0000Z 28.7N  91.0W   120 KTS
24HR VT     26/1200Z 29.7N  92.4W   110 KTS
36HR VT     27/0000Z 30.6N  93.0W    90 KTS...INLAND
48HR VT     27/1200Z 31.1N  93.4W    80 KTS
72HR VT     28/1200Z 32.0N  94.0W    65 KTS