ZCZC MIAWRKAD4 LOC
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY...
HURRICANE ANDREW DISCUSSION NUMBER  32
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON AUG 24 1992
 
THE CENTER OF ANDREW IS COMING ASHORE IN SOUTHERN DADE COUNTY. WIND
GUSTS TO 138 MPH HAVE OCCURRED AT THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE
HURRICANE HAS ACCELERATED A LITTLE...TO 16 KT...ON ITS WESTWARD
COURSE.
 
THE 0000 UTC AVN MODEL...AND THE BAM AND QLM TRACK MODELS SUGGEST A
TRACK WHICH TAKES ANDREW ACROSS THE LOWERMOST FLORIDA PENINSULA...
AND INTO THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO BY 48 HOURS.  THE MODELS
NOW TURN THE CYCLONE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A POSSIBLE LANDFALL
BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. THIS INCREASES THE THREAT OF A LANDFALL ON
THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...AND HAS BEEN ACCEPTED FOR THE
CURRENT ADVISORY.
 
RAPPAPORT/GERRISH/PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     24/0900Z 25.5N  80.0W   115 KTS
12HR VT     24/1800Z 25.7N  82.3W   105 KTS
24HR VT     25/0600Z 26.2N  85.0W   105 KTS
36HR VT     25/1800Z 26.7N  87.0W   110 KTS
48HR VT     26/0600Z 27.5N  88.8W   115 KTS
72HR VT     27/0600Z 30.0N  91.5W   115 KTS