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...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY...
HURRICANE ANDREW DISCUSSION NUMBER  23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT AUG 22 1992
 
LATEST AIR FORCE RECON REPORTED 974 MB SURFACE PRESSURE AND MAX
FLIGHT LEVEL PEAK WINDS OF 99 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS A
WELL DEFINED EYE WITH AN INTENSE EYE WALL.  BOTH SHIFOR AND
EXPERIMENTAL SHIPS92 INDICATE INTENSIFICATION AND SO DOES THE
OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST.
 
INITIAL MOTION 275/12. ESSENTIALLY ALL GUIDANCE IS NOW IN AGREEMENT
WITH THE EFFECTS OF THE WELL DEVELOPED RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE
HURRICANE RESULTING IN A GENERALLY WESTWARD MOTION.  THAT RIDGE IS
PROGGED TO HOLD IN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.  THE INCREASED
FORWARD SPEED AND THE WESTERLY TRACK THREATENS THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.  THEREFORE...A HURRICANE WATCH IS
BEING ISSUED BY THE BAHAMIAN GOVERNMENT THIS MORNING FOR THE
NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.
 
IF THIS INCREASED FORWARD SPEED CONTINUES...A HURRICANE WATCH WILL
LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA COAST LATE TONIGHT OR
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
 
SHEETS
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     22/1500Z 25.9N  69.0W    80 KTS
12HR VT     23/0000Z 26.2N  70.8W    85 KTS
24HR VT     23/1200Z 26.5N  73.0W    90 KTS
36HR VT     24/0000Z 26.8N  75.2W    90 KTS
48HR VT     24/1200Z 26.9N  77.1W    90 KTS
72HR VT     25/1200Z 27.0N  80.5W    75 KTS