ZCZC MIAWRKAD4 LOC
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
...FOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL USE ONLY...
TROPICAL STORM ANDREW DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE AUG 18 1992
 
VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW A LOW LEVEL CENTER THAT IS MOVING
FASTER THAN THE CONVECTION TO THE EAST AND THUS IT APPEARS TO BE
EXPOSED.  HOWEVER...THE DEEP CONVECTION EAST IS TRYING TO WRAP
AROUND THE CENTER AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PULSATE.  

THE INITIAL MOTION HAS BEEN 285/20 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. 
SINCE WE HAVE NOT BEEN ABLE TO RUN THE DYNAMIC TRACK FORECAST MODELS
THIS MORNING DUE TO TECHNICAL PROBLEMS AT NHC...WE WILL PRESERVE THE
INTEGRITY OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK.  

WE WILL ALSO MAINTAIN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST INTENSITY SCENARIO.

GERRISH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     18/1500Z 15.3N  51.2W    45 KTS
12HR VT     19/0000Z 16.0N  54.0W    50 KTS
24HR VT     19/1200Z 17.0N  57.0W    55 KTS
36HR VT     20/0000Z 18.0N  59.5W    55 KTS
48HR VT     20/1200Z 19.0N  61.5W    60 KTS
72HR VT     21/1200Z 21.0N  65.0W    60 KTS