ADVISORY NUMBER 16 TROPICAL STORM ANDREW PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST SUN AUG 23 1992 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 24.1N 65.6W 41 X X X 41 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 8 8 24.9N 67.5W 19 7 X 1 27 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 6 6 25.6N 69.2W 4 15 2 2 23 BERMUDA X X X 2 2 MDSD 185N 697W X X 1 3 4 MARATHON FL X X X 2 2 MDCB 176N 714W X X X 2 2 MIAMI FL X X X 3 3 MTPP 186N 724W X X 1 3 4 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 4 4 MTCA 183N 738W X X X 3 3 FT PIERCE FL X X X 3 3 MUGM 200N 751W X X 1 4 5 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 3 3 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 4 4 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 MDPP 198N 707W X 1 2 4 7 CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 MBJT 215N 712W X 3 5 4 12 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 2 2 MYMM 224N 730W X 1 6 6 13 WILMINGTON NC X X X 2 2 MYSM 241N 745W X X 5 8 13 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 3 3 MYEG 235N 758W X X 2 8 10 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 2 2 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 7 7 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 2 2 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT C FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT D FROM 2PM SAT TO 2PM SUN E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT