ADVISORY NUMBER 5 TROPICAL STORM ANDREW PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST THU AUG 20 1992 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 16.3N 53.0W 50 X X X 50 TKPK 173N 627W X X 6 8 14 17.5N 55.9W 13 25 X X 38 TNCM 181N 631W X X 6 8 14 18.4N 58.1W 1 23 3 1 28 TISX 177N 648W X X 1 8 9 TBPB 131N 595W X X 1 3 4 TIST 183N 650W X X 1 9 10 TVSV 131N 612W X X X 3 3 TJPS 180N 666W X X X 6 6 TLPL 138N 610W X X 1 4 5 TJSJ 184N 661W X X X 8 8 TFFF 146N 610W X X 2 6 8 ST CROIX VI X X 1 8 9 TDPR 153N 614W X X 4 6 10 ST THOMAS VI X X 1 9 10 TFFR 163N 615W X X 7 6 13 SAN JUAN PR X X X 8 8 TAPA 171N 618W X 1 8 6 15 PONCE PR X X X 6 6 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM TUE FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8PM TUE TO 8AM WED C FROM 8AM WED TO 8PM WED D FROM 8PM WED TO 8PM THU E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT