ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 ...MADELINE MOVING NORTH OF ISLAS MARIAS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO EL DORADO MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM...SOUTH OF MAZATLAN MEXICO. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH ... 7 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE APPROACHING THE COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...21.9 N...106.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. PASCH NNNN