ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 ...MADELINE MOVING NORTHWARD... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO... INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...SOUTH OF ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 165 MILES...265 KM...SOUTH OF MAZATLAN. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL PASS NEAR OVER THE ISLAS MARIAS LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...20.8 N...106.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. PASCH NNNN