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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MADELINE ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998
 
...NEW TROPICAL STORM THREATENING SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...

AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD.  WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BE
REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE ADJACENT MAINLAND OF MEXICO LATER
TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E HAS
STRENGTHENED TO BECOME TROPICAL STORM MADELINE.  AT 8 AM PDT..1500Z
...THE CENTER OF MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH
...LONGITUDE 108.4 WEST OR ABOUT 265 MILES...425 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS ON THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA.
 
MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH...15
KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER OF MADELINE TO NEAR THE SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES... 95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...19.5 N...108.4 W.  MOVEMENT TOWARD
...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM
PDT.
 
RAPPAPORT
 
 
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