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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MITCH ADVISORY NUMBER  53
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM EST THU NOV 05 1998
 
...MITCH BEGINNING TO MOVE AWAY FROM FLORIDA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
CRAIG KEY EASTWARD...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
FROM NEW SMYRNA BEACH TO FLAMINGO.
 
AT 10 AM EST...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE FLORIDA
KEYS WEST OF CRAIG KEY AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM WEST OF
FLAMINGO TO TARPON SPRINGS ARE DISCONTINUED.  SMALL CRAFT IN THESE
AREAS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA
FROM THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS WESTWARD INCLUDING THE ISLE OF
YOUTH...BUT WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWEST
BAHAMAS.
 
AT 10 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MITCH WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.2 WEST...
OR NEAR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST JUST NORTH OF JUPITER.
 
MITCH IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 26 MPH...43
KM/HR...AND THIS DIRECTION OF MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO ARE NEAR  65 MPH...100
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS....MAINLY OVER THE WATERS EAST OF THE
SOUTHERN PART OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.  A WIND OF GUST OF 73 MPH
WAS REPORTED FROM FOWEY ROCKS LIGHTHOUSE JUST SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
...280 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
 
STORM TIDES ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST ARE DECREASING AND WILL
BEGIN DECREASING ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND KEYS LATER TODAY.
 
MOST OF THE HEAVY RAIN HAS MOVED OFFSHORE FROM FLORIDA INTO THE
ATLANTIC.  RAINS WILL CONTINUE TAPERING OFF THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
 
REPEATING THE 10 AM EST POSITION...27.1 N... 80.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 26 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM
EST.
 
RAPPAPORT
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.

 
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