ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MITCH ADVISORY NUMBER 47 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 9 PM CST TUE NOV 03 1998 ...MITCH MOVING ONSHORE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...FROM PROGRESO SOUTHWARD TO CARMEN. AT 9 PM CST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.2 WEST OR INLAND ABOUT 30 MILES...45 KM...NORTHEAST OF CAMPECHE MEXICO. MITCH IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR... AND THIS DIRECTION OF MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK ...THE CENTER OF MITCH WILL REMAIN OVER LAND TONIGHT AND EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY. ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE WHILE MITCH IS CENTERED OVER LAND AND THE SYSTEM COULD BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF MITCH. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND ELSEWHERE OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN THESE AREAS. REPEATING THE 9 PM CST POSITION...20.2 N... 90.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT MIDNIGHT CST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 3 AM CST...WEDNESDAY. RAPPAPORT STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC. NNNN