ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 3 PM CST SAT OCT 31 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR LOCATION..DIRECTION FROM SANTA ROSA DE COPAN ...MITCH MOVING WEST..HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA... SMALL CRAFT ALONG THE CARIBBEAN COASTS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA... AND WESTERN HONDURAS...AND ALONG THE PACIFIC COASTS OF GUATEMALA ...EL SALVADOR...HONDURAS...AND NICARAGUA SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 3 PM CST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES...120 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SANTA ROSA DE COPAN HONDURAS. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR ...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ESPECIALLY OVER WATER. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 15 TO 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF HONDURAS...NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN ASSOCIATION WITH HIGHER TERRAIN. REPEATING THE 3 PM CST POSITION...14.5 N... 89.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 9 PM CST. GUINEY STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC. NNNN