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BULLETIN
HURRICANE MITCH ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM EST THU OCT 29 1998
 
...MITCH WEAKENING ALONG THE COAST OF HONDURAS...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF
HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO
FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS OF
THESE AREAS.
 
AT 10 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MITCH WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.6 WEST OR NEAR THE CITY OF
LIMON HONDURAS.
 
MITCH REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY.  A SLOW MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-
NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. 
ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE OVER OR NEAR THE
CENTRAL COAST AND ADJACENT ISLANDS OF HONDURAS FOR ANOTHER 24 HOURS.
MITCH IS LIKELY TO REMAIN A THREAT TO THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN FOR
ANOTHER TWO DAYS.
  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  MITCH COULD WEAKEN TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH LATER TODAY...
BUT RESTRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE IF THE CENTER MOVES AWAY FROM LAND.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 15 TO 25 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF HONDURAS AND OTHER
PARTS OF CENTRAL AMERICA.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS ARE
POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.   DANGEROUS COASTAL FLOODING DUE TO
STRONG ONSHORE WINDS AND WAVES IS ALSO OCCURRING OVER OTHER COASTAL
LOCATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
 
REPEATING THE 10 AM EST POSITION...16.0 N... 85.6 W. MOVEMENT...
NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM
EST.
 
RAPPAPORT
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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