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BULLETIN
HURRICANE MITCH ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM EST WED OCT 28 1998

...CORRECTION FOR CENTRAL PRESSURE...

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE MITCH LASHING THE NORTHERN COAST OF
HONDURAS AND THE BAY ISLANDS...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF
HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO 
FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS OF
THESE AREAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS VERY DANGEROUS
HURRICANE.
 
AT 4 AM EST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.6 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM
... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLAND OF GUANAJA...AND ABOUT 25 MILES...
40 KM NORTH OF THE COAST OF HONDURAS.

MITCH HAS MOVED LITTLE DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AND LITTLE
MOTION IS LIKELY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING.  A SLOW
...GENERALLY WESTWARD...MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY. 
HOWEVER THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE IS VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST AND
HURRICANE CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER HONDURAS AND THE
ADJACENT BAY ISLANDS. HAM RADIO REPORTS INDICATE EXTENSIVE DAMAGE
ON THE ISLAND OF GUANAJA AND ROATAN.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR
...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MITCH REMAINS A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  ALTHOUGH SOME FURTHER WEAKENING MAY OCCUR
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... MITCH IS LIKELY TO REMAIN A DANGEROUS
HURRICANE.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE U.S. AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS  942 MB...27.82 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...
ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF HONDURAS AND OTHER PARTS OF
CENTRAL AMERICA.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
DANGEROUS COASTAL FLOODING FROM STRONG ONSHORE WINDS AND LARGE
BATTERING WAVES IS OCCURRING OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN.
THE WORST CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST OF HONDURAS AND
THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS.  OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
ARE ALSO EXPERIENCING DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.
 
REPEATING THE 4 AM EST POSITION...16.3 N... 85.6 W.  MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE... 942 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 AM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM
EST.
 
GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
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