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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MITCH ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU OCT 22 1998

...TROPICAL STORM MITCH MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MITCH WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.6 WEST OR ABOUT 385
MILES...620 KM...SOUTH OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
 
MITCH IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST THEREAFTER. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR  50 MPH... 85 KM/HR
...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MITCH IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON
FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES... 95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  999 MB...29.50 INCHES.
 
WHILE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NOT YET NECESSARY...INTERESTS IN THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
MITCH.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...12.3 N... 77.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 999 MB. 
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT...FRIDAY.
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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