ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MITCH ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT THU OCT 22 1998 ...NEW TROPICAL STORM MITCH STRENGTHENING OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST OR ABOUT 450 MILES ...725 KM...SOUTH OF KINGSTON JAMAICA. MITCH HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY TODAY...BUT A SLOW MOVEMENT GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. WHILE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NOT YET NECESSARY...INTERESTS IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MITCH. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...11.5 N... 77.6 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT. RAPPAPORT STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC. NNNN