ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM..COR BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT THU SEP 17 1998 COR TO WATCH SECTION ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO...A NEW THREAT TO THE GULF COAST... AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM SARGENT TEXAS TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA. SMALL CRAFT FROM SARGENT TO PORT ARANSAS TEXAS AND FROM GRAND ISLE TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.0 WEST OR ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON FRIDAY. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...26.8 N... 92.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT. AVILA STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC. NNNN