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BULLETIN
HURRICANE GEORGES ADVISORY NUMBER  51
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SUN SEP 27 1998
 
...GEORGES SLOWLY APPROACHING THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
PANAMA CITY FLORIDA.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
EAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA TO ST. MARKS FLORIDA.  AT 10 PM CDT...
THE HURRICANE WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FROM WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GEORGES WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  88.6 WEST.  THIS POSITION IS
ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI AND ABOUT 105
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.
 
GEORGES IS MOVING ERRATICALLY BUT GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTH
NORTHWEST NEAR  6 MPH.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE
SHOULD REACH THE COAST LATE MONDAY.  DO NOT FOCUS ON THE PRECISE
LOCATION AND TRACK OF THE CENTER.  THE HURRICANES DESTRUCTIVE
WINDS...RAIN...AND STORM SURGE COVER A WIDE SWATH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN WIND SPEED ARE LIKELY UNTIL THE CENTER
MOVES OVER LAND.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.  THE NEW ORLEANS WSR-88D RADAR INDICATES THAT
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY BE OCCURRING NEAR THE GROUND OVER EXTREME
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.  KEESLER AIR FORCE BASE RECENTLY REPORTED A
GUST TO 79 MPH.
 
THE LATEST ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  961 MB...28.38
INCHES.
  
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
AND UP TO 17 FEET AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED
AREA AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.
 
FLOODING RAINS OF 15 TO 25 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...
ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SLOW-MOVING HURRICANE.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE TRACK OF
GEORGES.
 
SMALL CRAFT FROM WEST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA WESTWARD AND
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE COAST OF TEXAS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.  SMALL
CRAFT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
  
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...29.5 N... 88.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR  6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
...105 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 961 MB.
 
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT MIDNIGHT CDT AND 2 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT...MONDAY.
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC.
 
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