ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE GEORGES ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT WED SEP 23 1998 ...GEORGES MOVING OVER EASTERN CUBA... AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI...FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF SANCTI SPIRITUS EASTWARD...FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND FOR THE TURK AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS AND MATANZAS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...FROM DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM BONITA BEACH SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS. THIS INCLUDES MONROE...MIAMI DADE...BROWARD AND COLLIER COUNTIES. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF HURRICANE GEORGES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.1 WEST...VERY NEAR GUATANAMO BAY CUBA. GEORGES HAS BEEN WOBBLING WESTWARD NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF EASTERN CUBA BUT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS TRACK WILL BRING THE HURRICANE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA TONIGHT. DO NOT FOCUS ON THE PRECISE LOCATION AND TRACK OF THE CENTER. THE HURRICANES DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND RAINS COVER A WIDE SWATH. GEORGE IS BARELY A HURRICANE AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...IN A FEW SQUALLS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE THE CENTER OF GEORGES IS OVER CUBA. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY 20 INCHES OR MORE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF GEORGES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...19.8 N... 75.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT. AVILA STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC. NNNN