ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE GEORGES ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM AST FRI SEP 18 1998 ...POWERFUL HURRICANE GEORGES AIMED AT THE CARIBBEAN... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES FROM ST. LUCIA NORTHWARD TO ANGUILLA INCLUDING SABA AND ST. MAARTEN. A HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA ON SATURDAY MORNING. AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE GEORGES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.0 WEST OR ABOUT 735 MILES...1185 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. GEORGES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE HURRICANE WILL AFFECT THE LESSER ANTILLES OVER THE WEEKEND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...14.0 N... 50.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST...SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC. NNNN