ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE GEORGES ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM AST FRI SEP 18 1998 ...GEORGES BECOMING A DANGEROUS HURRICANE...HEADING FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES... AT 5 PM AST...2100Z THE RESPECTIVE GOVERNMENTS OF THE DIFFERENT ISLANDS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES HAVE ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM ST. LUCIA NORTHWARD TO ANGUILLA INCLUDING SABA AND ST. MAARTEN. THIS MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR WITHIN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE GEORGES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.5 WEST OR ABOUT 825 MILES... 1330 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. GEORGES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH ...35 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE HURRICANE WILL AFFECT THE LESSER ANTILLES OVER THE WEEKEND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GEORGES IS CURRENTLY A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE AND IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN INTO A CATEGORY THREE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...13.7 N... 48.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST. AVILA STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC. NNNN