ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT FRI SEP 11 1998 ...FRANCES STATIONARY...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE... AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM PORT OCONNOR TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. SMALL CRAFT FROM MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER ...AND SOUTHWARD FROM PORT OCONNOR THROUGH THE NORTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO...SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.1 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF VICTORIA TEXAS. FRANCES HAS MOVED LITTLE DURING THE DAY. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWEST TO NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY OVER THE WATERS OF THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO. FRANCES IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. SINCE FRANCES IS STATIONARY AND STRONG ONSHORE WINDS CONTINUE...THE COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING TO BE VERY SLOW TO SUBSIDE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE TRACK OF FRANCES...WITH EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY. CONSULT STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE FOR DETAILS CONCERNING RAIN AND FLOODING OVER TEXAS AND LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES ALONG THE COAST OF LOUISIANA...OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS...AND OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...28.6 N... 97.1 W. MOVEMENT STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT. LAWRENCE NO STRIKE PROBABILITIES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY. NNNN