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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU SEP 10 1998
...CORRECTED LOCATION IN REPEAT SECTION...
...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXPAND...

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED TO
INCLUDE LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF OF MEXICO
COAST FROM TAMPICO MEXICO NORTH AND EAST TO THE MOUTH OF THE
PEARL RIVER IN MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND
MAUREPAS.

TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MAY NEED TO BE REPLACED BY HURRICANE
WARNINGS OVER A PORTION OF THE WARNED AREA LATER TONIGHT. 

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL 
RIVER MISSISSIPPI TO PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
FRANCES WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  95.2
WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES...270 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI
TEXAS.
 
ALTHOUGH THERE HAS BEEN A NORTHWARD SHIFT IN THE ESTIMATED CENTER
TODAY...THE STORM HAS A BROAD CENTRAL AREA AND OVERALL THERE HAS
BEEN LITTLE MOVEMENT.  HOWEVER A SLOW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS
EXPECTED LATER TODAY...BRINGING FRANCES CLOSER TO THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN TEXAS.  MEANWHILE...BANDS OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO WRAP AROUND THE CENTER...AFFECTING COASTAL AND
OFFSHORE AREAS OF THE NORTHWESTERN AND NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR  60 MPH...95
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES...555 KM
MAINLY IN HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF
THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
TIDES OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST
LOUISIANA COASTS...AND 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA COAST ARE LIKELY...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES.  FLOODING
OF COMMUNITIES AND HIGHWAYS HAS BEEN REPORTED AT VARIOUS LOCATIONS
IN THE WARNED AREA.   
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF TEXAS...EXTREME NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST
LOUISIANA...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA.
 
THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO ALONG THE COAST OF
TEXAS TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...26.5 N... 95.2 W.  MOVEMENT
NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM
CDT.
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
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