ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM CDT THU SEP 03 1998 ...EARL MOVED INLAND NEAR PANAMA CITY...EXPECTED TO WEAKEN... AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...ALL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED WEST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF PANAMA CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT SOUTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO THE ANCLOTE KEYS FLORIDA. THESE WARNINGS ARE LIKELY TO BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT WEST OF PANAMA CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EARL IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER LAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND SOUTHEASTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES SOUTHEAST FROM THE...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE BATTERING WAVES ARE STILL POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THIS STORM SURGE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS IN THE BIG BEND AREA OF FLORIDA...AND COULD BE LIFE-THREATENING. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA. REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...30.5 N... 85.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 10 TO 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ...75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 988 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM CDT. AVILA STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC. NNNN