ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM CDT WED SEP 02 1998 ...EARL MOVING EAST NORTHEAST..WARNINGS ADJUSTED EASTWARD... AT 8 AM CDT...1300Z...HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE EXTENDED EASTWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA AND WATCHES ARE WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED WEST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM PASCAGOULA TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. AT 8 AM CDT...1300Z...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO ANCLOTE KEYS. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF SUWANNEE RIVER TO ANCLOTE KEYS. AT 8 AM CDT...1300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.3 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DESTIN FLORIDA. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE FUTURE TRACK OF THE STORM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF EARL. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 8 AM CDT POSITION...28.6 N... 88.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM CDT. AVILA STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC. NNNN