ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM CDT WED SEP 02 1998 AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED WEST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA AND ARE EXTENDED EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA. HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY TO DESTIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO APPALACHACOLA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FROM WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA. AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.5 WEST OR ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTH OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WHICH COULD BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER THE CENTER HAS NOT BEEN WELL-DEFINED AND THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE FUTURE TRACK OF THE STORM. EARLY HAS NOT STRENGTHENED TO A HURRICANE BUT COULD STILL DO SO TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 TO 60 MPH. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...MAINLY EAST FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF EARL. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...27.8 N... 90.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM CDT. LAWRENCE STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC. NNNN