ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT FRI AUG 28 1998 ...BONNIE IS OFFSHORE...MOVING NORTHEAST...BUT STILL THREATENS NORTHEASTERN U.S.... AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBERMARLE SOUNDS. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE ALSO DISCONTINUED INSIDE OF CHESAPEAKE BAY. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTH TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE ENTRANCE TO CHESAPEAKE BAY AND DELAWARE BAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA BY SATURDAY. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.1 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WALLOPS ISLAND VIRGINIA. BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK IS FOR BONNIE TO MOVE NEAR AND ALONG THE NORTHEAST U.S COAST TODAY AND NEAR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT AND EARLY TOMORROW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY. INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHEAST U.S. COAST SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR INFORMATION ON STORM SURGE AND RAINFALL. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR BONNIES TRACK. RAINBANDS CURRENTLY OVER EXTREME EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OFFSHORE TODAY. REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...37.1 N... 74.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT. JARVINEN STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC. NNNN