ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT FRI AUG 28 1998 ...BONNIE MOVING OFFSHORE...BUT STILL THREATENS NORTHEASTERN U.S.... AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF OCRACOKE NORTH CAROLINA. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND POTOMAC RIVER NORTH OF SMITH POINT. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM OCRACOKE NORTH CAROLINA TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETSS...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND... ALBEMARLE SOUND...THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT AND DELAWARE BAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA BY SATURDAY. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.7 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF WALLOPS ISLAND VIRGINIA. BONNIE HAS BEEN DRIFTING EASTWARD OVERNIGHT BUT IS EXPECTED BEGIN MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASING FORWARD SPEED TODAY. THE FORECAST TRACK IS FOR BONNIE TO MOVE NEAR AND ALONG THE NORTHEAST U.S COAST TODAY AND NEAR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT AND EARLY TOMORROW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY OVER WATER. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY. INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHEAST U.S. COAST SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR INFORMATION ON STORM SURGE AND RAINFALL. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR BONNIES TRACK. RAINBANDS CURRENTLY OVER EXTREME EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OFFSHORE TODAY. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...36.5 N... 74.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD ...NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 986 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY A COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT. LAWRENCE STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC. NNNN