ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT THU AUG 27 1998 ...BONNIE CENTERED OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS... AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE EXTENDED NORTHWARD. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW EXTENDS FROM NEW RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA TO WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND... INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND...ALBEMARLE SOUND...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTHWARD FROM SMITH POINT...AND DELAWARE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO DRUM POINT AND FOR THE POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND TO SMITH POINT. INTERESTS IN THE WATCH AND WARNING AREAS SHOULD FOLLOW RECOMMENDATIONS FROM THEIR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS. AT 5 PM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.9 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES ...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ELIZABETH CITY NORTH CAROLINA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 40 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WILL BE MOVING BACK INTO THE ATLANTIC LATER THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...WINDS CIRCULATING AROUND THE BACK SIDE OF THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE THE STORM SURGE THREAT FOR PORTIONS OF PAMLICO SOUND AND ALBEMARLE SOUND INTO THE NIGHT. DOPPLER RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME CHANCE THAT BONNIE COULD REGAIN CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE STATUS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES MAINLY OVER THE WATER SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES. STORM SURGE AND RAINFALL WILL DECREASE OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE NIGHT. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...35.8 N... 75.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 981 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT. RAPPAPORT STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC. NNNN