ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM AST FRI AUG 21 1998 ..BONNIE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE TURKS AND CAICOS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ON SATURDAY... AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ARE CONSIDERED TO BE THE AREA EAST OF THE ACKLINS ISLANDS...AND THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDE THE AREA FROM THE ACKLINS NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH CAT ISLAND AND GREAT EXUMA. BONNIE COULD THREATEN THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...AS A HURRICANE...WITHIN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. RESIDENTS ALONG THE COAST SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BONNIE. AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.7 WEST OR ABOUT 295 MILES...470 KM... EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE TURKS ISLAND. BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH ...28 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK BONNIE WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT TURKS AND CAICOS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES ...230 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH BONNIE CONTINUE SPREADING ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE BRITISH AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS. FOR LOCAL WEATHER AND SEAS IN THE AREA...CONSULT STATEMENTS BY THE SAN JUAN WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE. REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...20.6 N... 66.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST. AVILA STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC. NNNN