ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM COR BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM AST FRI AUG 21 1998 COR TO UTC TIME ...BONNIE BEGINS TO THREATEN THE BAHAMAS... AT 11 AM AST 1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. AT 11 AM AST 1500 UTC A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR PUERTO RICO HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. BONNIE COULD THREATEN THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST...AS A HURRICANE...WITHIN THE NEXT THREE DAYS. RESIDENTS IN THIS AREA SHOULD MONITOR ITS PROGRESS. AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.4 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES...165 KM...NORTH NORTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH ...28 KM/HR ...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TODAY OR TOMORROW. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH BONNIE CONTINUE SPREADING ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE BRITISH AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS. FOR LOCAL WEATHER AND SEAS IN THE AREA..CONSULT STATEMENTS BY THE SAN JUAN WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...19.8 N... 65.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 999 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM AST. AVILA STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC. NNNN