ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM AST THU JUL 30 1998 ...ALEX CONTINUES ON A WESTWARD TRACK...MAY BE A HURRICANE IN ABOUT TWO DAYS... AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.9 WEST OR ABOUT 880 MILES...1415 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH ...24 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST THEREAFTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN SQUALLS MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ALEX COULD REACH HURRICANE STATUS IN ABOUT TWO DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...15.2 N... 46.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST. AVILA STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC. NNNN