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HURRICANE MADELINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  13A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM PDT MON OCT 19 1998

...MADELINE MOVING NORTH OF ISLAS MARIAS...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO EL DORADO
MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD.
 
AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.7 WEST
OR ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO.
 
MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH... 10 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  ON THIS TRACK
THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE APPROACHING THE COAST IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR  75 MPH...
120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO  85 MILES...140 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS
AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE.  THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR
IN THE WARNED AREA.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...22.3 N...106.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 8 AM PDT.
 
PASCH/GUINEY
 
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