ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM COR BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MITCH INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 51A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1 AM EST THU NOV 05 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR TIME... ...HEAVY RAINS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS ...AND FOR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SOUTHWARD FROM TARPON SPRINGS ON THE WEST COAST AND SOUTHWARD FROM NEW SMYRNA BEACH ON THE EAST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS WESTWARD INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH...AND FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. AT 1 AM EST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.0 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FLORIDA. MITCH IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH...AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 55 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS... IN A FEW OF THE BANDS OF HEAVIER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WIND GUSTS TO 46 MPH WERE REPORTED FROM FOWEY ROCKS LIGHTHOUSE JUST SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI...AND WIND GUSTS TO 54 MPH WERE REPORTED AT THE DRY TORTUGAS ABOUT 65 MILES WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA WITHIN THE LAST HOUR. LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES FROM THE CENTER. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED FROM AIR FORECE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MITCH. THESE RAINS WILL PERSIST ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA THIS MORNING...AND SPREADING EASTWARD INTO THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS . RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF NEAR TWO INCHES IN AN HOUR WERE RECENTLY REPORTED AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS IN THE GREATER MIAMI AREA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH THIS MORNING. REPEATING THE 1 AM EST POSITION...25.4 N... 83.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 55 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM EST. GUINEY NNNN