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HURRICANE MITCH INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  29A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 PM EST WED OCT 28 1998
 
...MITCH WEAKENING BUT STILL POUNDING NORTHERN HONDURAS...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF
HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO
FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS OF
THESE AREAS.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.  INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DANGEROUS
HURRICANE.
 
AT 7 PM EST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.0 WEST OR VERY NEAR THE ISLAND
OF GUANAJA.  THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 25 MILES EAST OF THE ISLAND OF
ROATAN...AND ABOUT 25 MILES NORTH OF THE COAST OF MAINLAND HONDURAS.
 
MITCH HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.  LITTLE
OVERALL MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...KEEPING THE CORE OF THE
HURRICANE OVER OR VERY NEAR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS.  MITCH
IS LIKELY TO REMAIN A THREAT TO THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN FOR THE
NEXT TWO DAYS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...170
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS LIKELY WHILE
MITCH CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH LAND.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM...
MAINLY NORTHEAST FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED FROM RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS  966 MB...28.53 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 15 TO 25 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...
ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF HONDURAS AND OTHER PARTS OF
CENTRAL AMERICA.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM TIDES OF 8 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS ARE
POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.  DANGEROUS COASTAL FLOODING DUE TO STRONG
ONSHORE WINDS AND WAVES IS ALSO OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
 
REPEATING THE 7 PM EST POSITION...16.3 N... 86.0 W.  MOVEMENT
NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 966 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM EST.
 
PASCH
 
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