ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE MITCH INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  12A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 1998

...MITCH BECOMING A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE...
 
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA
AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR EASTERN CUBA FROM CAMAGUEY TO GUANTANAMO.
 
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.3 WEST OR ABOUT 200 MILES... 
325 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
 
MITCH IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...8 KM/HR.  A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.  ON THIS
TRACK...RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE HURRICANE SHOULD BEGIN TO
AFFECT JAMAICA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  MITCH IS FORECAST TO BECOME A DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  55 MILES... 90 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...225 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM SATELLITE IS 973 MB ...28.82
INCHES.
 
INTERESTS IN ALL OF THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...15.4 N... 78.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB. 
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.
 
JARVINEN
 
NNNN