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BULLETIN
HURRICANE GEORGES INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 51A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
12 AM CDT MON SEP 28 1998
 
...GEORGES NEARLY STATIONARY...EXPECTED TO DRIFT NORTH
NORTHWESTWARD..

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
PANAMA CITY FLORIDA.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
EAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA TO ST. MARKS FLORIDA.  AT 10 PM CDT...
THE HURRICANE WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FROM WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.
 
AT 12 AM CDT...0500Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE GEORGES WAS LOCATED
BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  88.6 WEST.  THIS
POSITION IS ABOUT 65 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI AND
ABOUT 100 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.
 
GEORGES IS MOVING ERRATICALLY BUT GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTH
NORTHWEST NEAR  6 MPH.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE
SHOULD REACH THE COAST LATER TODAY.  DO NOT FOCUS ON THE PRECISE
LOCATION AND TRACK OF THE CENTER.  THE HURRICANES DESTRUCTIVE
WINDS...RAIN...AND STORM SURGE COVER A WIDE SWATH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY UNTIL THE CENTER MOVES OVER
LAND.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  45 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES.   THE NEW ORLEANS WSR-88D RADAR INDICATES THAT
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY BE OCCURRING NEAR THE GROUND OVER EXTREME
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.  
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE WAS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
  
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
AND UP TO 17 FEET AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED
AREA AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.
 
FLOODING RAINS OF 15 TO 25 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...
ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SLOW-MOVING HURRICANE.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE TRACK OF
GEORGES.
 
SMALL CRAFT FROM WEST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA WESTWARD AND
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE COAST OF TEXAS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.  SMALL
CRAFT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
  
REPEATING THE 12 AM CDT POSITION...29.6 N... 88.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR  6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
...105 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
2 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.
 
AVILA
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