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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT TUE SEP 01 1998

...TROPICAL STORM EARL EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE LOUISIANA        
   COAST... 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM
PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO CAMERON LOUISIANA AND A HURRICANE WATCH
FROM EAST OF PASCAGOULA TO DESTIN FLORIDA AND WEST OF CAMERON TO
HIGH ISLAND TEXAS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE
WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN 24 HOURS AND A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  92.3 WEST OR ABOUT 240
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT EARL HAS
BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IT IS EXPECTED TO
RESUME A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION NEAR 12 MPH LATER TONIGHT.  ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF EARL SHOULD BE NEAR THE LOUISIANA COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON WEDNESDAY. 

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE EARL
A LITTLE LATER THIS EVENING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ...MAINLY
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND EARL IS EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE BEFORE
LANDFALL.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES MAINLY TO
THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF EARL. 

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ARE
POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST.

REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...27.0 N... 92.3 W.  MOVEMENT
NEARLY STATIONARY...BUT EXPECTED TO RESUME A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
MOTION NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM CDT.
 
PASCH
 
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