ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BONNIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM AST THU AUG 20 1998 ...BONNIE SKIRTING THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA... ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS. AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.5 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...100 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BARBUDA IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR ...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH A GRADUAL SLOWING OF FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONDITIONS FAVOR AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN STRENGTH DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH BONNIE ARE SPREADING OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...AND THE BRITISH AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS. REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...18.6 N...61.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT AT 11 PM AST. MAYFIELD STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC. NNNN