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TROPICAL STORM MITCH PROBABILITIES NUMBER  50
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM EST WED NOV 04 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM EST SAT NOV  7 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.0N  78.5W      30  6  X  X 36   DAYTONA BEACH FL   9  2  X  X 11
31.0N  73.0W       X 19  6  X 25   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  1  1  X  2
34.0N  67.0W       X  X 15  3 18   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     6  X  X  X  6   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  4  4
MUAN 219N 850W     7  X  X  X  7   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  2  2
MYAK 241N 776W     4  2  X  X  6   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  2  2
MYNN 251N 775W     9  6  X  X 15   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  2  2
MYGF 266N 787W    34  3  X  X 37   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  2  2
BERMUDA            X  X  7  7 14   KEY WEST FL       51  X  X  X 51
MARATHON FL       42  X  X  X 42   MARCO ISLAND FL   63  X  X  X 63
MIAMI FL          47  X  X  X 47   FT MYERS FL       53  X  X  X 53
W PALM BEACH FL   47  X  X  X 47   VENICE FL         31  X  X  X 31
FT PIERCE FL      40  1  X  X 41   TAMPA FL          11  X  X  X 11
COCOA BEACH FL    29  1  X  X 30
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM THU TO  1AM FRI
C FROM  1AM FRI TO  1PM FRI
D FROM  1PM FRI TO  1PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
PASCH
 
 
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