ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE MITCH PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM EST TUE OCT 27 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM EST FRI OCT 30 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.8N  87.3W      58  X  X  X 58   MGPB 157N 886W    15  3  2  1 21
17.2N  88.0W      32  1  X  X 33   MHNJ 165N 859W    99  X  X  X 99
17.8N  88.5W      18  4  1  2 25   MNPC 141N 834W     X  X  X  2  2
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  1  4  5   MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  3  3   MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  X  4  4
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  2  6  8   MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  3  9 12
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  1  4  5   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  4  9 13
MUAN 219N 850W     X  1  4  6 11   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2
MMCZ 205N 869W     1  6  6  4 17   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2
MZBZ 175N 883W    23  2  1  1 27
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM WED TO  1AM THU
C FROM  1AM THU TO  1PM THU
D FROM  1PM THU TO  1PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
LAWRENCE
 
 
NNNN