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HURRICANE MITCH PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM EST TUE OCT 27 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.9N  79.1W      66  X  X  X 66   MNPC 141N 834W     X  X  4  8 12
17.7N  79.9W      35  2  1  X 38   MNBL 120N 839W     X  X  X  6  6
18.1N  80.9W      16 14  1  X 31   SKSP 126N 817W     X  X  1  4  5
MKJP 179N 768W    14  1  1  X 16   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  3  3
MKJS 185N 779W    21  3  X  1 25   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2
MWCG 193N 814W     2 16  6  2 26   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2
MUCM 214N 779W     X  2  5  4 11   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  8  8
MUCF 221N 805W     X  1  8  7 16   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  5  5
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  7 10 17   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  3  3
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  2 11 13   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X 12 12   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  9  9
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  8  8   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  5  5
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  6  6   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  3  3
MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  5  5   VENICE FL          X  X  X  2  2
MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  1 12 13
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  7AM MON
C FROM  7AM MON TO  7PM MON
D FROM  7PM MON TO  7PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
JARVINEN
 
 
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