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HURRICANE MITCH PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT TUE OCT 27 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.8N  78.6W      65  X  X  X 65   MNBL 120N 839W     X  X  1  6  7
17.5N  79.5W      30  5  X  1 36   SKSP 126N 817W     X  X  3  6  9
18.0N  80.5W      12 17  1  1 31   MRLM 100N 831W     X  X  X  3  3
MKJP 179N 768W    13  2  1  X 16   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  1  3  4
MKJS 185N 779W    13  8  1  X 22   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  3  3
MWCG 193N 814W     X 14  7  3 24   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X  2  5  4 11   MARATHON FL        X  X  1  8  9
MUCF 221N 805W     X  1  8  7 16   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  6  6
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  7 10 17   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  4  4
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  3 10 13   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  3  3
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X 11 11   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  8  8   KEY WEST FL        X  X  1  9 10
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  5  5   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  6  6
MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  4  4   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  5  5
MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  1 11 12   VENICE FL          X  X  X  3  3
MNPC 141N 834W     X  X  5  9 14   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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