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HURRICANE MITCH PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT OCT 24 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT TUE OCT 27 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.1N  77.5W      42  X  X  X 42   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  X  8  8
16.7N  78.1W      32  X  1  X 33   MNPC 141N 834W     X  X  4 10 14
17.0N  79.1W      18  6  2  1 27   MNBL 120N 839W     X  X  1  9 10
MTCA 183N 738W     X  1  1  1  3   SKSP 126N 817W     X  1  5  7 13
MKJP 179N 768W    12  7  1  1 21   MRLM 100N 831W     X  X  X  5  5
MKJS 185N 779W     6 10  3  2 21   MPCO 093N 799W     X  X  X  2  2
MWCG 193N 814W     X  1  6  9 16   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  3  3
MUGM 200N 751W     X  1  3  4  8   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  5  5
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  5  8 13   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  7  7
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1 10 11   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  5  5
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  9  9   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  3  3
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  6  6   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  4  4
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  3  3   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  3  3
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  2  2   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  2  2
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  2  2   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  4  4
MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  2  2   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
RAPPAPORT
 
 
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